Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 38

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK, DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA


	Alfreton Town		Scunthorpe United

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.3	1.73
	4.2	3.35	1.82
	4.43	3.4	1.78
	4.5	3.41	1.82	Watch
	4.2	3.2	1.83
	4.42	3.34	1.8
	4.2	3.35	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↑ (3.49)	3.34 ↓ (3.34)	1.8 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfreton Town
21.3%

Draw
27.6%

Scunthorpe United
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

27.5%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

26.9%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Scunthorpe United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alfreton Town - Scunthorpe United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Ubaezuonu C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 0 - 2, Scales K. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Alfreton has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Scunthorpe is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Alfreton have a series of guest games.

In this match Scunthorpe is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Alfreton won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:7 (average 0.8:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Alfreton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfreton Town
English National League North
08.03.25	Brackley Town - Alfreton Town	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Alfreton Town - Warrington Town	2:2 ✺
25.02.25	South Shields - Alfreton Town	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Hereford - Alfreton Town	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Spennymoor Town - Alfreton Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Scunthorpe United
English National League North
08.03.25	Scunthorpe United - Leamington	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Buxton - Scunthorpe United	1:1 ✺
25.02.25	Scunthorpe United - Darlington	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Oxford City - Scunthorpe United	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Scunthorpe United - Scarborough Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
30.11.24	Scunthorpe United - Alfreton Town	0:0
24.02.24	Scunthorpe United - Alfreton Town	1:0
02.09.23	Alfreton Town - Scunthorpe United	2:2
Club Friendly
23.07.19	Alfreton Town - Scunthorpe United	1:4

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