Match Info

Leumit League - Promotion Group - Round 35

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday


	Bnei Yehuda		Hapoel Kiryat Yam

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.55	3.75
	1.77	3.8	4.06
	1.77	3.95	4	Watch
	1.75	3.6	3.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.25)	3.73 ↑ (3.23)	3.95 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bnei Yehuda
52%

Draw
24.7%

Hapoel Kiryat Yam
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

28.2%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

27%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bnei Yehuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bnei Yehuda's performance.

Hapoel Kiryat Yam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Kiryat Yam might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bnei Yehuda than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bnei Yehuda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Kiryat Yam than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Kiryat Yam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Kiryat Yam Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Ratner A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 2 - 0, Golan B. ⚽,

Preview

Bnei Yehuda is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Hapoel Kiryat Yam has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Bnei Yehuda has had a series of away games.

Bnei Yehuda might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bnei Yehuda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Bnei Yehuda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bnei Yehuda	8	6	2	0	19:7	12	20
4	Kiryat Yam	8	5	0	3	23:13	10	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bnei Yehuda
Israeli Liga Leumit
08.05.26	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Bnei Yehuda	0:1 ✺
05.05.26	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Bnei Yehuda	1:3 ✺
01.05.26	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	2:2 ✺
27.04.26	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Bnei Yehuda	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Maccabi Herzliya - Bnei Yehuda	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWTTW
- Hapoel Kiryat Yam
Israeli Liga Leumit
11.05.26	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:0 ✺
05.05.26	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	1:2 ✺
01.05.26	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Ramat Gan	0:1 ✺
27.04.26	Maccabi Herzliya - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	0:0 ✺
17.04.26	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Afula	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
14.04.26	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	1:3
05.12.25	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Bnei Yehuda	2:1

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