Match Info

Primera A Women - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 27 July 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Boca Juniors		San Lorenzo de Almagro

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.70	3.50
	2.25	2.88	3.00	Watch
	2.34	2.63	4.01
	2.31	2.56	3.8	Watch
	2.3	2.45	3.95
	2.17	2.98	3.52
	2.1	2.85	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.6)	2.72 ↓ (2.88)	3.59 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
41%

Draw
33.6%

San Lorenzo de Almagro
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

31.1%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

31%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boca Juniors's performance.

San Lorenzo de Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Lorenzo de Almagro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boca Juniors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo de Almagro than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Lorenzo de Almagro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo de Almagro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Sasaki Y. ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, Coronel F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 1 - 2, Pafundi D. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 2.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.2:0.4).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Boca Juniors W	11	8	1	2	18:8	10	25
5	San Lorenzo W	10	5	4	1	17:8	9	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
22.07.26	Boca Juniors - Talleres de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
13.07.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Boca Juniors	3:3 ✺
08.07.26	Social Atlético Televisión - Boca Juniors	0:1 ✺
05.07.26	Boca Juniors - Lanús	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	San Luis - Boca Juniors	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TTWWT
- San Lorenzo de Almagro Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
22.07.26	Lanús - San Lorenzo de Almagro	1:0 ✺
13.07.26	San Lorenzo de Almagro - San Luis	1:0 ✺
08.07.26	Unión Santa Fe - San Lorenzo de Almagro	1:2 ✺
04.07.26	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Independiente	2:0 ✺
29.06.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - San Lorenzo de Almagro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera A Women
13.03.26	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Boca Juniors	1:1
04.03.25	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Boca Juniors	4:3
02.11.24	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Boca Juniors	3:1
15.06.24	Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo de Almagro	4:0
27.05.23	Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo de Almagro	3:0
05.03.22	Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo de Almagro	2:0
11.12.21	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Boca Juniors	2:4

Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo de Almagro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide