Match Info
Primera A Women - Apertura - Round 12Date: 4 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Ciudad Deportiva de San Lorenzo de Almagro (Bajo Flores) (Buenos Aires)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Argentina | LPF Play |
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San Lorenzo de Almagro |
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Independiente |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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1.29 |
4.80 |
8.25 |
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1.20 |
5.50 |
11.50 |
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 |
1.28 |
5.27 |
9.55 |
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1.2 |
5.59 |
12.82 |
Watch |
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1.26 |
5.20 |
9.45 |
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1.26 |
4.90 |
9.65 |
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1.29 |
4.80 |
8.40 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.25 ↓
(1.29) |
5.15 ↑
(4.35) |
9.95 ↑
(9.5) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
San Lorenzo de Almagro
73% | Draw
17.8% | Independiente
9.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo de Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)San Lorenzo de Almagro - Independiente Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - San Lorenzo (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -2 - San Lorenzo (3.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 3 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', (Penalty Awarded),
- 39', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 73', 🟥,
- 89', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 and 14).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 1.San Lorenzo has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Independiente is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).San Lorenzo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, San Lorenzo is the undisputed favorite.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.3:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).
Standings
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | San Lorenzo W | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 19 |
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| 13 | Independiente W | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 9 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Argentinian Primera A Women | | | 23.05.25 | San Lorenzo de Almagro - Independiente | 1:1 | | 25.08.24 | Independiente - San Lorenzo de Almagro | 0:1 | | 29.03.24 | San Lorenzo de Almagro - Independiente | 0:1 | | 09.10.23 | San Lorenzo de Almagro - Independiente | 2:2 | | 07.05.23 | San Lorenzo de Almagro - Independiente | 1:4 | | 15.08.22 | Independiente - San Lorenzo de Almagro | 1:2 |
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