Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Play Offs - Final

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN, LPF Play, TNT Sports


	Boca Juniors 2		Gimnasia La Plata 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.8	2.88	2.74
	2.72	2.9	2.67	Watch
	2.5	2.88	2.63
	2.56	2.94	2.62
	2.57	3	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.06)	2.92 ↓ (3.17)	2.67 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors 2
34.7%

Draw
31.2%

Gimnasia La Plata 2
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

29%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

28.6%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boca Juniors 2's form might have worsened.

Gimnasia La Plata 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gimnasia La Plata 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors 2 than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boca Juniors 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata 2 than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimnasia La Plata 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Boca Juniors 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
102', 2 - 1, ⚽,
106', 2 - 2, ⚽,
107', 🟥,
Penalties (4 - 1)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

Boca Juniors 2 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors 2
Argentinian Reserve League
27.11.25	Boca Juniors 2 - River Plate 2	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Boca Juniors 2 - Instituto 2	1:0 penalties ✺
12.11.25	Boca Juniors 2 - Lanús 2	1:0 ✺
30.10.25	Boca Juniors 2 - Tigre 2	0:1 ✺
22.10.25	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Boca Juniors 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWLW
- Gimnasia La Plata 2
Argentinian Reserve League
27.11.25	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	4:0 ✺
19.11.25	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - San Lorenzo 2	3:1 ✺
12.11.25	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Platense 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
15.07.23	Boca Juniors 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	2:2
05.10.22	Boca Juniors 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	2:1

Upcoming Matches