Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Gimnasia La Plata 2		Vélez Sársfield 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.05	3.25	2.1
	3.39	3.35	2.15
	3.32	3.16	2.13	Watch
	3.1	3	2.05
	3.33	3.06	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (3.33)	3.16 ↑ (3.12)	2.11 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia La Plata 2
28.1%

Draw
28.8%

Vélez Sársfield 2
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

29.5%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

28.6%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia La Plata 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Vélez Sársfield 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata 2 than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Aguirre T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata 2 won 2.

In recent matches, Gimnasia La Plata 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vélez 2 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Vélez 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata 2 won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia La Plata 2
Argentinian Reserve League
02.04.26	River Plate 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	0:3 ✺
25.03.26	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Racing Club 2	2:3 ✺
17.03.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	1:1 ✺
16.02.26	Aldosivi 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLLTW
- Vélez Sársfield 2
Argentinian Reserve League
01.04.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	4:0 ✺
26.03.26	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	3:1 ✺
03.03.26	Gimnasia Mendoza 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:0 ✺
17.02.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Barracas Central 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
21.10.25	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	2:1
20.05.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	3:1
17.10.24	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	2:1
16.05.24	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	0:0
05.09.23	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	1:0
28.01.23	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:0
12.08.22	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:0

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