The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Boca Juniors 2 39.5%
Draw 32.2%
River Plate 2 28.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.1%
28.1%
30.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
28.2%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boca Juniors 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
River Plate 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors 2 than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate 2 than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Boca Juniors 2 - River Plate 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Extra Time (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Obregon A. (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, Agustin De la Cuesta (Penalty Awarded),
2, Gelini G. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Gutierrez B. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Paoli G. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Nunez E. (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, Meloni (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors 2 won 2.
Recent performances by Boca Juniors 2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
River Plate 2 is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
River Plate 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Boca Juniors 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors 2 won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors 2 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Boca Juniors 2 - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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