Match Info

Division 2 - Norrland - Relegation Group

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Boden		Kiruna

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.16	4.66
	1.20	6.34	11.38	Watch
	1.55	4.16	5.07
	1.52	4.33	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.49)	4.75 ↑ (3.86)	6.4 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boden
65.3%

Draw
19.9%

Kiruna
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boden's performance.

Kiruna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kiruna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boden than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiruna than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kiruna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Boden - Kiruna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, David V. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Hereka M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boden won 4.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Boden is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Boden won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:7. (average 2.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Boden won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodens BK
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
13.09.25	Lucksta - Boden	1:3 ✺
07.09.25	Boden City - Boden	3:2 ✺
03.09.25	Boden - Bergnäsets	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Boden - Friska Viljor	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Täfteå - Boden	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLTWW
- Kiruna FF
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
13.09.25	Kiruna - Täfteå	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Kiruna - Friska Viljor	2:4 ✺
30.08.25	Lucksta - Kiruna	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Bergnäsets - Kiruna	0:3 ✺
17.08.25	Kiruna - Boden City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
10.08.25	Kiruna - Boden	1:3
29.05.25	Boden - Kiruna	4:3
17.04.25	Kiruna - Boden	0:0
30.08.24	Kiruna - Boden	1:6
26.04.24	Boden - Kiruna	1:0
24.07.22	Kiruna - Boden	1:1
23.06.22	Boden - Kiruna	4:1

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