Match Info

Division 2 - Norrland - Promotion Group

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday


	Boden		Luleå

	1	X	2
	4.10	3.80	1.63
	4.2	3.75	1.68
	4.18	3.71	1.7
	4.4	3.93	1.65	Watch
	4.05	3.55	1.59
	4.56	3.78	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↑ (3.54)	3.75 ↓ (4)	1.64 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boden
21.2%

Draw
24%

Luleå
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

23%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

22.3%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Luleå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boden than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (-2%)

Boden - Luleå Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 1 - 0, Bello M. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boden won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Luleå could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Boden won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Boden won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.8:2).

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	IFK Lulea	12	8	0	4	20:16	4	49
7	Boden	12	4	2	6	15:26	-11	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodens BK
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
12.09.26	Kubikensborgs - Boden	6:1 ✺
05.09.26	Boden - Kubikensborgs	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Skellefteå FF - Boden	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Boden - IFK Östersunds	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Boden - Gottne	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLTTW
- IFK Luleå
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
12.09.26	Täfteå - Luleå	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Luleå - Täfteå	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Lucksta - Luleå	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Luleå - Kubikensborgs	1:3 ✺
15.08.26	Skellefteå FF - Luleå	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
12.08.26	Luleå - Boden	0:1
22.06.26	Boden - Luleå	1:4
10.05.26	Luleå - Boden	1:1
25.06.25	Luleå - Boden	1:1
19.05.25	Boden - Luleå	0:2
26.06.24	Luleå - Boden	1:1
19.06.24	Boden - Luleå	4:2

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