Match Info

Division 2 - Norrland - Promotion Group

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday


	Luleå		Täfteå

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.90	3.70
	1.67	3.85	3.60
	1.68	3.85	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.67)	3.87 ↑ (3.85)	3.65 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 12.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luleå
52.8%

Draw
22.9%

Täfteå
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

22.9%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

22%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luleå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Täfteå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Täfteå than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Luleå - Täfteå Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Nilsson N. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 2 - 0, Brannstrom J. ⚽,
59', 2 - 1, Skoglund O. ⚽,
90+1', Eriksson V. 🟥,
90+5', 🟥,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 and 4)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luleå won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Luleå is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Luleå won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 23:5. (average 2.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Luleå won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:1. (average 3:0.3).

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	IFK Lulea	12	8	0	4	20:16	4	49
5	Taftea IK	12	5	0	7	19:26	-7	40

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Luleå
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
30.08.26	Lucksta - Luleå	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Luleå - Kubikensborgs	1:3 ✺
15.08.26	Skellefteå FF - Luleå	3:1 ✺
12.08.26	Luleå - Boden	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Luleå - IFK Östersunds	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLW
- Täfteå IK
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
30.08.26	IFK Östersunds - Täfteå	6:2 ✺
22.08.26	Täfteå - Lucksta	4:1 ✺
15.08.26	Kubikensborgs - Täfteå	3:1 ✺
12.08.26	Täfteå - Skellefteå FF	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Täfteå - Gottne	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
23.05.26	Täfteå - Luleå	4:1
11.04.26	Luleå - Täfteå	4:0
10.08.24	Täfteå - Luleå	0:1
06.04.24	Luleå - Täfteå	1:1
31.08.19	Täfteå - Luleå	0:7
19.05.19	Luleå - Täfteå	4:0
22.09.18	Luleå - Täfteå	3:0

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