Match Info

Date: 7 July 2021, Wednesday


	Bodø Glimt		Legia Warsaw

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.4	Watch
	2.1	3.35	3.2	Watch
	1.99	3.55	3.25
	2.06	3.73	3.44
	2.05	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.07	3.38	3.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.41)	3.47 ↑ (3.16)	3.32 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodø Glimt
45.2%

Draw
26.8%

Legia Warsaw
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

28.9%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

20.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodø Glimt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bodø Glimt's performance.

Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Legia Warsaw might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bodø Glimt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Legia Warsaw could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88%	6%	6%

Bodø Glimt - Legia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 216 users predict this event. Bodø Glimt will win (votes: 190 - 88%). Legia will win (votes: 13 - 6%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bodø Glimt: 83.7% – 92.3%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Bodø/Glimt is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Legia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bodø/Glimt could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Legia have a series of home games.

Bodø/Glimt will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodø Glimt
Norwegian Eliteserien
03.07.21	Bodø Glimt - Viking Stavanger	2:2 ✺
30.06.21	Sandefjord - Bodø Glimt	1:0 ✺
27.06.21	Bodø Glimt - Stabæk	4:1 ✺
24.06.21	Bodø Glimt - Molde	0:2 ✺
20.06.21	Vålerenga - Bodø Glimt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLWLT
- Legia Warsaw
Club Friendly
03.07.21	Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:0 ✺
30.06.21	Legia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk	3:2 ✺
23.06.21	Legia Warsaw - Krasnodar	1:1 ✺
20.06.21	Legia Warsaw - Ferencvárosi	0:2 ✺
17.06.21	Bischofshofen - Legia Warsaw	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWTLW

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