The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Legia Warsaw 49.9%
Draw 30.1%
Jagiellonia Białystok 20%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.7%
22.4%
20%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.1%
24.5%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Legia Warsaw's form might have worsened.
The chances for Jagiellonia Białystok have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Legia Warsaw, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
45.5%
27.3%
27.3%
Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 16.1% – 74.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tobiasz K. (G) 7. Wszolek P. 91. Piatkowski K. 3. Kapuadi S. 13. Reca A. 67. Kapustka B. (C) 44. Szymanski D. 22. Elitim J. 21. Bichakhchyan V. 30. Stojanovic P. 29. Rajovic M.
50. Abramowicz S. (G) 15. Wojtuszek N. 13. Vital B. 70. Pelmard A. 27. Wdowik B. 8. Drachal D. 6. Romanczuk T. (C) 7. Pozo A. 11. Imaz J. 80. Pietuszewski O. 10. Pululu A.
Substitutes
8. Augustyniak R. 11. Chodyna K. 14. Colak A. 55. Jedrzejczyk A. 27. Kobylak G. (G) 77. Krasniqi E. 12. Pankov R. 82. Urbanski K. 53. Urbanski W. 19. Vinagre R. 99. Weisshaupt N. 20. Zewlakow J.
19. Cantero A. 31. Flach L. 25. Jackson A. 72. Jozwiak K. 4. Kobayashi Y. 21. Lozano S. 86. Mazurek B. 22. Piekutowski M. (G) 18. Prip L. 9. Rallis D. 3. Stojinovic D. 17. Sylla Y.
Coaches
Iordanescu E.
Siemieniec A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Pululu A. 🟨,
45', Stojanovic P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Stojanovic P. ↓, Urbanski K. ↑,
62', Bichakhchyan V. ↓, Weisshaupt N. ↑,
62', Romanczuk T. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
62', Pozo A. ↓, Jozwiak K. ↑,
69', Vital B. 🟨,
73', Jozwiak K. 🟨,
76', Imaz J. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
87', Kapustka B. ↓, Krasniqi E. ↑,
87', Reca A. ↓, Vinagre R. ↑,
89', Pietuszewski O. ↓, Cantero A. ↑,
89', Pululu A. ↓, Flach L. ↑,
Preview
Postponed due to european competitions.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 2.
Recent performances by Legia have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Jagiellonia is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, Legia is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Legia: Goncalves C.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Legia won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:16. (average 1.6:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:6. (average 2.2:0.6).
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Tobiasz K. (G) 
Kapuadi S. 
Elitim J. 
Bichakhchyan V. 
Stojanovic P. 
Rajovic M. 
Vital B. 
Pelmard A. 
Pozo A. 
Pululu A. 
Colak A. 
Krasniqi E. 
Pankov R. 
Weisshaupt N. 
Jackson A. 
Kobayashi Y. 
Rallis D. 
Sylla Y. 
Iordanescu E. 
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