Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Bogotá		Independiente Valle del Cauca

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	2.95	2.90
	2.32	2.95	3	Watch
	2.35	3.19	3.2
	2.34	3.16	3.08	Watch
	2.3	3.15	3.05
	2.27	3	3.08	Watch
	2.27	2.95	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.2)	3.05 ↑ (2.85)	3.04 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bogotá
39.8%

Draw
30%

Independiente Valle del Cauca
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

31.4%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

32.7%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bogotá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Independiente Valle del Cauca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bogotá than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Valle del Cauca than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Bogotá - Independiente Valle del Cauca Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bogotá will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Ind Valle del Cauca will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Aguilar A. (G) 7. Aladesanmi K. (C) 21. Arango J. 31. Asprilla C. 19. Estupinan D. 32. Gutierrez A. 2. Palacios M. 16. Ramos Jaramillo H. 5. Sanchez J. 11. Sandoval Lasso H. 15. Velasco J.	12. Mena L. (G) 27. Ampudia J. 11. Farias L. (C) 2. Lozano J. 7. Mena H. 14. Ordonez J. 29. Palacios J. 25. Pena F. 17. Quinonez L. 4. Rodriguez J. 20. Rubiano J.
Substitutes
3. Diaz S. 28. Medina M. 1. Osorno J. (G) . Palacios J. 9. Perea S. 20. Segura N. 22. Vanegas R. 14. Viveros K.	16. De Arco H. 8. Diaz T. 3. Ferrer D. 9. Garcia A. 26. Lopez W. 22. Mendez J. (G) 6. Moreyra H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Palacios J. ⚽,
37', Palacios J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 0 - 2, Diaz T. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Recent form of Bogotá has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ind Valle del Cauca is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Bogotá has had a series of away games.

Bogotá will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bogotá won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ind. Valle del Cauca	11	7	2	2	15:6	9	23
12	Bogota	11	3	3	5	9:13	-4	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bogotá FC
Colombian Primera B
29.08.26	Atlético Cali - Bogotá	2:1 ✺
25.08.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Bogotá	1:2 ✺
20.08.26	Real Cartagena - Bogotá	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Bogotá - Leones	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	Internacional de Palmira - Bogotá	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWLLT
- Independiente Valle del Cauca
Colombian Primera B
28.08.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Leones	1:0 ✺
24.08.26	Real Santander - Independiente Valle del Cauca	1:0 ✺
06.08.26	Real Cartagena - Independiente Valle del Cauca	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Envigado	1:1 ✺
27.07.26	Atlético Cali - Independiente Valle del Cauca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
04.03.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Bogotá	1:1

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