Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Jaime Morón León (Cartagena)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Real Cartagena		Bogotá

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.47	3.90	5.75
	1.55	3.75	4.90	Watch
	1.52	4.17	6.04
	1.51	4.05	6.26	Watch
	1.50	4.10	5.95
	1.49	3.90	5.81	Watch
	1.45	3.85	5.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.49)	3.96 ↑ (3.79)	5.79 ↓ (5.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Real Cartagena
61.1%

Draw
23.1%

Bogotá
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

23.9%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

24.1%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Bogotá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bogotá than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Real Cartagena - Bogotá Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Cartagena will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montes A. (G) 17. Aleman J. 33. Balanta M. 7. Barrera J. 25. De Las Salas C. 26. Graciano C. 80. Lopez E. 23. Lora R. 9. Manotas M. 16. Pineda J. 21. Rodriguez J.	29. Aguilar A. (G) 7. Aladesanmi K. 6. Castro K. 18. Cuero B. 19. Estupinan D. 16. Jaramillo 13. Moreno Abadia J. C. 2. Palacios M. 8. Perez J. 5. Sanchez J. 15. Velasco J.
Substitutes
6. Escobar A. 18. Gallego J. P. 22. Gomez Tovar G. E. (G) 10. Montero F. 14. Pino D. 3. Redondo Garcia E. H. 13. Rios J. 20. Taffur L. 11. Yanes L.	21. Arango J. 31. Asprilla C. 28. Medina M. 1. Osorno J. (G) 36. Palacios J. 11. Sandoval Lasso H. 20. Segura N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Aleman J. ⚽,
26', 🟨,
38', 🟨,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 2 - 0, Lopez E. ⚽,
63', Rodriguez J. ↓, Montero F. ↑,
65', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
74', Manotas M. ↓, Rios J. ↑,
74', Lopez E. ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
74', Pineda J. ↓, Pino D. ↑,
81', Aleman J. ↓, Taffur L. ↑,
84', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,
90+7', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Cartagena won 5.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Real Cartagena is the clear favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Real Cartagena won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:8. (average 1.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Cartagena won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 2.5:0.8).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cartagena	11	4	3	4	19:14	5	15
12	Bogota	11	3	3	5	9:13	-4	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Cartagena
Colombian Primera B
06.08.26	Real Cartagena - Independiente Valle del Cauca	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Real Cundinamarca - Real Cartagena	1:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
29.07.26	Real Cartagena - América de Cali	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera B
25.07.26	Real Cartagena - Real Santander	5:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
21.07.26	América de Cali - Real Cartagena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTTWL
- Bogotá FC
Colombian Primera B
06.08.26	Bogotá - Leones	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	Internacional de Palmira - Bogotá	0:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
28.07.26	Bogotá - Deportivo Pasto	0:3 ✺
Colombian Primera B
25.07.26	Bogotá - Unión Magdalena	1:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
21.07.26	Deportivo Pasto - Bogotá	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
17.05.26	Bogotá - Real Cartagena	1:2
02.05.26	Real Cartagena - Bogotá	2:0
09.02.26	Bogotá - Real Cartagena	0:1
21.07.25	Bogotá - Real Cartagena	0:3
09.02.25	Real Cartagena - Bogotá	5:0
13.08.24	Bogotá - Real Cartagena	0:1
23.02.24	Real Cartagena - Bogotá	3:0

Upcoming Matches