Real Cartagena - Bogotá: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Primera B - Clausura - Round 4
  • Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday
  • Location: Estadio Jaime Morón León (Cartagena)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
  • colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
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    Bovada 1.45 3.85 5.80
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.49)
    3.96
    (3.79)
    5.79
    (5.97)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

    • The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Real Cartagena
    61.1%
    Draw
    23.1%
    Bogotá
    15.8%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    60.9% 23.9% 15.2%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    61.3% 24.1% 15.1%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Bogotá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bogotá than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    100% 0% 0%
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    Predictions

  • Users Predictions: Real Cartagena will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. ColombiaMontes A. (G)
    17. ColombiaAleman J.
    33. ColombiaBalanta M.
      7. ColombiaBarrera J.
    25. ColombiaDe Las Salas C.
    26. ColombiaGraciano C.
    80. ColombiaLopez E.
    23. ColombiaLora R.
      9. ColombiaManotas M.
    16. ColombiaPineda J.
    21. ColombiaRodriguez J.
    29. ColombiaAguilar A. (G)
      7. ColombiaAladesanmi K.
      6. ColombiaCastro K.
    18. ColombiaCuero B.
    19. ColombiaEstupinan D.
    16. ColombiaJaramillo
    13. ColombiaMoreno Abadia J. C.
      2. ColombiaPalacios M.
      8. ColombiaPerez J.
      5. ColombiaSanchez J.
    15. ColombiaVelasco J.
    Substitutes
      6. ColombiaEscobar A.
    18. ColombiaGallego J. P.
    22. ColombiaGomez Tovar G. E. (G)
    10. ColombiaMontero F.
    14. ColombiaPino D.
      3. ColombiaRedondo Garcia E. H.
    13. ColombiaRios J.
    20. ColombiaTaffur L.
    11. ColombiaYanes L.
    21. worldArango J.
    31. ColombiaAsprilla C.
    28. ColombiaMedina M.
      1. ColombiaOsorno J. (G)
    36. ColombiaPalacios J.
    11. ColombiaSandoval Lasso H.
    20. ColombiaSegura N.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 0)
    • 14', 🟨,
    • 20', 1 - 0, Aleman J. ,
    • 26', 🟨,
    • 38', 🟨,
    • 44', 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
    • 55', 2 - 0, Lopez E. ,
    • 63', Rodriguez J. , Montero F. ,
    • 65', 🟨,
    • 68', 🟨,
    • 74', Manotas M. , Rios J. ,
    • 74', Lopez E. , Escobar A. ,
    • 74', Pineda J. , Pino D. ,
    • 81', Aleman J. , Taffur L. ,
    • 84', 🟨,
    • 90+5', 🟨,
    • 90+7', 🟨,
    • 90+7', 🟨,
    • 90+7', (Penalty Awarded),

    Preview

  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Cartagena won 5.
  • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
  • In this match, Real Cartagena is the clear favorite.
  • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Real Cartagena won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:8. (average 1.8:0.6).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Real Cartagena won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 2.5:0.8).
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    Standings

    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cartagena531114:5910
    7Bogota52123:4-17

    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Real Cartagena
    Colombian Primera B
    06.08.26 Real Cartagena - Independiente Valle del Cauca 0:2
    02.08.26 Real Cundinamarca - Real Cartagena 1:1
    Colombian Copa
    29.07.26 Real Cartagena - América de Cali 1:1
    Colombian Primera B
    25.07.26 Real Cartagena - Real Santander 5:1
    Colombian Copa
    21.07.26 América de Cali - Real Cartagena 2:1
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1
    LTTWL
    - Bogotá FC
    Colombian Primera B
    06.08.26 Bogotá - Leones 0:1
    02.08.26 Internacional de Palmira - Bogotá 0:0
    Colombian Copa
    28.07.26 Bogotá - Deportivo Pasto 0:3
    Colombian Primera B
    25.07.26 Bogotá - Unión Magdalena 1:0
    Colombian Copa
    21.07.26 Deportivo Pasto - Bogotá 0:1
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2
    LTLWW
    Latest Head to Head
    Colombian Primera B
    17.05.26 Bogotá - Real Cartagena 1:2
    02.05.26 Real Cartagena - Bogotá 2:0
    09.02.26 Bogotá - Real Cartagena 0:1
    21.07.25 Bogotá - Real Cartagena 0:3
    09.02.25 Real Cartagena - Bogotá 5:0
    13.08.24 Bogotá - Real Cartagena 0:1
    23.02.24 Real Cartagena - Bogotá 3:0
    Upcoming Matches
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Real Cartagena
    Colombian Primera B
    29.08.26 Real Cartagena - Tigres
    - Bogotá FC
    Colombian Primera B
    29.08.26 Atlético Cali - Bogotá