The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Boiro 55%
Draw 25.1%
Gran Peña 19.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.7%
25.6%
21.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.8%
23.3%
19.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boiro than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 1st in the Promotion and 16th in the Relegation).
Boiro has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Gran Peña has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Bookmakers give the edge to Boiro for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for Boiro in today's match, at odds of 1.62.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Boiro has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:8 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Boiro against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).
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