The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montañeros 40.3%
Draw 28%
Gran Peña 31.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.6%
28.2%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montañeros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 10th).
Gran Peña may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Montañeros has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Montañeros against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.