Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday
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Boiro |
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Gran Peña |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.9 |
2.82 |
4.35 |
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1.88 |
2.97 |
4.66 |
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1.86 |
2.98 |
4.66 |
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1.85 |
3 |
3.9 |
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1.82 |
2.93 |
4.76 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.86 ↓ (2.11) |
2.94 ↑ (2.86) |
4.47 ↑ (3.62) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Boiro 48.8% | Draw 30.9% | Gran Peña 20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boiro's performance.Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boiro than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (+2.9%)Boiro - Gran Peña Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 84', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 7).Boiro is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).In recent matches, Gran Peña has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Recently, Boiro has had a series of away games. Boiro could have a small edge in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Boiro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).Including home match between the teams, Boiro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boiro | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 10 |
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| 10 | Gran Pena | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;