Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 8 July 2026, Wednesday


	Bokelj		Arsenal Tivat

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.40	2.50
	2.42	3.45	2.58
	2.26	3.69	2.51
	1.49	3.98	6.29	Watch
	2.20	3.65	2.45
	2.29	3.56	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (3.07)	3.62 ↑ (3)	3.14 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bokelj
43.8%

Draw
26.1%

Arsenal Tivat
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

30.3%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

29.9%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bokelj has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bokelj's performance.

Arsenal Tivat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arsenal Tivat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bokelj than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bokelj that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tivat than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal Tivat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bokelj - Arsenal Tivat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, ⚽,
65', 2 - 1, ⚽,
83', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bokelj won 2.

Bokelj is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Arsenal Tivat's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bokelj may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Arsenal Tivat will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bokelj won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bokelj won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Bokelj - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 29.62%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Arsenal Tivat - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.06%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Bokelj
Montenegrin First League
03.06.26	Grbalj Radanovici - Bokelj	0:2 ✺
29.05.26	Bokelj - Grbalj Radanovici	0:0 ✺
24.05.26	Bokelj - Dečić Tuzi	1:0 ✺
20.05.26	Budućnost Podgorica - Bokelj	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Bokelj - Arsenal Tivat	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTWLW
- Arsenal Tivat
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Dečić Tuzi - Arsenal Tivat	4:1 ✺
01.07.26	Arsenal Tivat - Mladost Donja Gorica	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	Budućnost Podgorica - Arsenal Tivat	4:1 ✺
Montenegrin First League
24.05.26	Arsenal Tivat - Mladost Donja Gorica	1:4 ✺
20.05.26	Dečić Tuzi - Arsenal Tivat	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Montenegrin First League
16.05.26	Bokelj - Arsenal Tivat	3:0
15.03.26	Arsenal Tivat - Bokelj	1:0
22.11.25	Bokelj - Arsenal Tivat	2:0
17.09.25	Arsenal Tivat - Bokelj	2:1
10.05.25	Bokelj - Arsenal Tivat	1:1
12.03.25	Arsenal Tivat - Bokelj	1:0
02.11.24	Bokelj - Arsenal Tivat	1:2

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