Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Hernando Siles (La Paz)

Referee: Roldan W. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 1, DSports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN, SBT
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	DSports
Ecuador	DAZN, DSports 2
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
New-zealand	beIN Connect
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DAZN, DSports 2, DSports 310
Usa	beIN Connect, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN, DSports 1, DSports 2


	Bolívar		São Paulo

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.60	4.50	Watch
	1.78	3.50	4.40
	1.76	3.55	4.50	Watch
	1.81	3.59	4.72
	1.81	3.56	4.58	Watch
	1.75	3.55	4.65	Watch
	1.74	3.55	4.67	Watch
	1.86	3.65	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.83)	3.57 ↓ (3.77)	4.58 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolívar
52.9%

Draw
26.5%

São Paulo
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

24.7%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	27.3%	18.2%

Bolívar - São Paulo Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bolívar will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). São Paulo will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolívar: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lampe C. (G) 2. Sagredo J. 3. Arreaga X. 5. Echeverria S. 4. Sagredo J. (C) 14. Robson Matheus 80. Melgar C. A. 26. Saavedra E. 17. Pato Rodriguez 27. Asprilla D. 9. Cauteruccio M.	23. Rafael (G) 19. Lucas Ramon 5. Robert Arboleda 22. Duarte D. 12. Iago Borduchi 28. Newton 29. Pablo Maia 16. Bobadilla D. 10. Luciano 8. Marcos Antonio 9. Jonathan Calleri (C)
Substitutes
10. Arce B. 99. Batallini D. 35. Freita E. 33. Mena F. 13. Mendez D. (G) 11. Miranda B. 8. Paz L. 77. Romero D. 20. Sejas C. 6. Vaca Moreno E. 7. Velasquez J. 16. Zabala L.	17. Andre Silva 20. Buta 31. Carlos Coronel (G) 80. Cauly 94. Danielzinho 34. dos Santos P. 11. Ferreira 54. Luis Osorio 49. Ryan Francisco 35. Sabino 27. Victor Sa 18. Wendell
Coaches
Restrepo A.	Dorival Junior

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Robert Arboleda ⚽, Iago Borduchi (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Iago Borduchi 🟨,
54', Sagredo J. ↓, Batallini D. ↑,
61', Iago Borduchi ↓, Wendell ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Melgar C. A. ⚽,
71', Marcos Antonio ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
71', Luciano ↓, Ferreira ↑,
76', Cauteruccio M. ↓, Miranda B. ↑,
76', Pato Rodriguez ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
83', Bobadilla D. ↓, Cauly ↑,
83', Lucas Ramon ↓, Buta ↑,
85', Robson Matheus ↓, Arce B. ↑,
85', Saavedra E. ↓, Vaca Moreno E. ↑,
90+6', Buta 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Bolívar is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bolívar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bolívar is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bolívar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:8. (average 2:4).

Including home match between the teams, Bolívar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolívar La Paz
Bolivian Division Profesional
05.08.26	Bolívar - Oriente Petrolero	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Always Ready - Bolívar	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.07.26	Grêmio - Bolívar	0:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
26.07.26	Bolívar - Real Potosí	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.07.26	Bolívar - Grêmio	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WLWWW
- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Serie A
08.08.26	Grêmio - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Flamengo - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
22.07.26	São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense	1:2 ✺
31.05.26	Remo - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
26.05.26	São Paulo - Boston River	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
30.01.13	Bolívar - São Paulo	4:3
23.01.13	São Paulo - Bolívar	5:0

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