The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
São Paulo 57.5%
Draw 25%
Vitória Salvador 17.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.8%
26.3%
17.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.3%
25.2%
17.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
São Paulo - Vitória Salvador Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 10th in the Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 3.
Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.
São Paulo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, São Paulo is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, São Paulo has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:15 (averaging 1.8:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for São Paulo against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 17:4 goals (averaging 2.4:0.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Sao Paulo
28
10
6
12
33:32
1
36
12
Vitoria
29
10
6
13
32:42
-10
36
Last Results with these Odds
São Paulo - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.82%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Vitória Salvador - the odds 5.2 are the expected chance of winning is 17.93%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.