Match Info

GFA League - Round 23

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday


	Bombada		Marimoo

	1	X	2
	1.82	3	4.2
	2.23	2.85	3.27
	2.2	2.95	3.39	Watch
	2.08	2.88	3.7
	1.84	2.95	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.82)	2.93 ↓ (3)	3.79 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bombada
44.8%

Draw
31.2%

Marimoo
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

30.3%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

29.3%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bombada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bombada's form might have worsened.

Marimoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bombada than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bombada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marimoo than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Bombada - Marimoo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bombada (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 1 - 0, ⚽,
69', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Bombada has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Marimoo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Bombada is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bombada won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Bombada won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bombada FC
Gambian GFA League
05.05.25	Bombada - Hart Academy	1:0 ✺
29.04.25	Team Rhino - Bombada	1:1 ✺
24.04.25	Bombada - Real Banjul	0:1 ✺
10.04.25	Armed Forces - Bombada	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Bombada - Greater Tomorrow	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTLWT
- Marimoo FC
Gambian GFA League
05.05.25	Steve Biko - Marimoo	1:0 ✺
30.04.25	Marimoo - Hart Academy	0:0 ✺
24.04.25	Marimoo - Brikama United	2:2 ✺
10.04.25	Team Rhino - Marimoo	1:1 ✺
07.04.25	Banjul United - Marimoo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Gambian GFA League
26.01.25	Marimoo - Bombada	1:0
24.06.24	Bombada - Marimoo	1:3
12.01.24	Marimoo - Bombada	0:2

Bombada - Marimoo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide