Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 25

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Sportpark Nord (Bonn)


	Bonner		Velbert

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.95	4.85
	1.59	4.05	5.13
	1.58	4.15	4.71
	1.54	3.82	5.27
	1.48	4.2	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.42)	4.03 ↓ (4.45)	5.14 ↓ (6.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bonner
59.3%

Draw
22.8%

Velbert
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

20.5%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

19.9%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bonner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bonner's form might have worsened.

Velbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bonner than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bonner, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Velbert than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Bonner - Velbert Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 0 - 1, Golubytskij A. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Bonner is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Velbert has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bonner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bonner is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bonner won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Bonner	11	3	6	2	21:20	1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Velbert - the odds 6.13 are the expected chance of winning is 14.9%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bonner SC
German Regionalliga West
01.03.26	Fortuna Köln - Bonner	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Bocholt - Bonner	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Bonner - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Bonner	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
08.01.26	Bonner - Verl	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 TWWWL
- SSVg Velbert
German Regionalliga West
04.03.26	Velbert - Bochum II	2:3 ✺
27.02.26	Velbert - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Gütersloh - Velbert	0:1 ✺
13.02.26	Velbert - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	0:4 ✺
07.02.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Velbert	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
17.09.25	Velbert - Bonner	0:0
Club Friendly
02.08.24	Velbert - Bonner	5:2

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