Match Info

Scottish Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: New Dundas Park (Bonnyrigg)


	Bonnyrigg Rose		Spartans

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	2.05
	3.2	3.6	2.05
	3.09	3.61	2.06
	3.26	3.68	2.16
	3.1	3.6	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.65)	3.6 ↓ (3.65)	2.06 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bonnyrigg Rose
29.4%

Draw
25.7%

Spartans
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

26.5%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bonnyrigg Rose has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bonnyrigg Rose than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bonnyrigg Rose that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartans than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bonnyrigg Rose - Spartans Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Bonnyrigg (1.90) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Bonnyrigg (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Anderson M. (G) 22. Connolly C. 3. Martyniuk N. 6. McGarva J. 5. Somerville K. 7. Jones A. 23. Dobbie D. 8. Higginbotham K. 10. Currie L. 11. King B. 9. Ross C.	21. Martin P. (G) 2. Watson K. 5. Tapping J. 12. Nair K. 7. Dishington J. 4. Welsh S. 28. Craigen J. 19. Drysdale E. 29. Stowe M. 9. McNulty M. 33. Whyte B.
Substitutes
20. Bryce R. 16. Burnett D. 12. Dowling M. 14. Gray R. 1. Moffat H. 15. Neil C. 17. Speirs K.	8. Aiken M. 1. Carswell B. (G) 6. Dall B. 20. Ndlovu G. 17. Wylie A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Watson K. ⚽, Tapping J. (A),
12', 0 - 2, Stowe M. ⚽,
22', 1 - 2, Martyniuk N. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Somerville K. 🟨,
68', Craigen J. ↓, Aiken M. ↑,
78', Drysdale E. 🟨,
81', Higginbotham K. ↓, Bryce R. ↑,
82', Drysdale E. ↓, Dall B. ↑,
82', Stowe M. ↓, Wylie A. ↑,
85', McGarva J. ↓, Speirs K. ↑,
90', Jones A. 🟨,
90+3', Wylie A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bonnyrigg won 1.

Bonnyrigg is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Spartans has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Spartans has had a series of home games.

In this match, Spartans is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bonnyrigg won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Bonnyrigg won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Spartans - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50.21%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bonnyrigg Rose
Scottish Lowland League
22.11.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Broxburn Athletic	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Boness United	4:0 ✺
08.11.25	Caledonian Braves - Bonnyrigg Rose	1:3 ✺
01.11.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Civil Service Strollers	2:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
25.10.25	Cumbernauld Colts - Bonnyrigg Rose	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWW
- Spartans FC
Scottish League Two
22.11.25	Spartans - Stranraer	0:4 ✺
15.11.25	Spartans - Clyde	1:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.11.25	Spartans - Aberdeen 2	5:2 ✺
Scottish League Two
08.11.25	Forfar Athletic - Spartans	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Spartans - East Kilbride	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
26.04.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Spartans	2:1
01.03.25	Spartans - Bonnyrigg Rose	3:1
21.01.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Spartans	2:2
10.08.24	Spartans - Bonnyrigg Rose	2:0
20.04.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - Spartans	0:1
05.03.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - Spartans	2:2
24.02.24	Spartans - Bonnyrigg Rose	2:1

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