The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spartans 41.8%
Draw 24.9%
Stranraer 33.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.7%
25.7%
36.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.9%
25.8%
36.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Stranraer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartans than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Spartans - Stranraer Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Martin P. (G) 2. Mudie M. 15. Sonkur A. (C) 5. Tapping J. 33. Whyte B. 23. Heal B. 18. Walls B. 4. Welsh S. 29. Stowe M. 14. Dinanga R. 9. McNulty M.
1. Currie M. (G) 2. Dunne E. 4. McLuckie M. 5. Nair K. 22. Coll B. 8. Quigg A. 14. Bruce Z. 12. Traynor A. 11. Healy A. 24. Mason S. 16. Dobbie L.
Substitutes
1. Carswell B. (G) 6. Dall B. 7. Dishington J. 20. McAllister Z. 10. Ross M. 17. Taylor E. 12. Thomson A.
20. Cameron C. 77. Clelland D. 7. Dolan J. 9. Foster R. 21. Gillie L. 13. Henderson E. (G) 10. Plank D. 6. Stuart J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Mason S. ⚽, Traynor A. (A),
40', Bruce Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 0 - 2, Healy A. ⚽, McLuckie M. (A),
57', McNulty M. 🟨,
64', Walls B. ↓, Dishington J. ↑,
64', Whyte B. ↓, Thomson A. ↑,
65', Bruce Z. ↓, Stuart J. ↑,
72', Healy A. ↓, Plank D. ↑,
72', Traynor A. ↓, Dolan J. ↑,
73', Welsh S. 🟨,
76', Tapping J. 🟨,
77', 🟨,
78', Welsh S. ↓, Dall B. ↑,
80', Plank D. 🟨,
81', Dall B. 🟨,
82', Mason S. ↓, Clelland D. ↑,
82', Coll B. ↓, Gillie L. ↑,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 4th in the Promotion - League One Promotion - Playoffs and 1st in the Promotion - League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartans won 1.
In recent outings, Spartans has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Stranraer is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Spartans may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Spartans holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Spartans has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:32 (averaging 1.3:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Spartans against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 7:9 goals (averaging 1.2:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Stranraer
11
7
2
2
25:9
16
23
4
Spartans
11
4
3
4
22:20
2
15
Outrights of Scottish League Two for now
Stranraer: 21.07% Spartans: 7.64%
Last Results with these Odds
Spartans - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 37.67%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.
Stranraer - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.61%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.