The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spartans 48%
Draw 27.3%
Stranraer 24.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.7%
24.2%
17.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.1%
23.2%
16.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spartans's form might have worsened.
Stranraer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stranraer's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartans than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spartans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stranraer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Spartans - Stranraer Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Carswell B. (G) 5. Tapping J. 15. Sonkur A. 12. Nair K. 3. Booth C. 7. Dishington J. 2. Watson K. 29. Stowe M. 28. Craigen J. (C) 11. Russell C. 9. McNulty M.
31. Tas L. (G) 14. Dunne E. 4. Reid L. 5. McGrath J. 22. Coll B. (C) 21. Gillies M. 8. Quigg A. 17. McManus D. 19. Turay S. 24. Lang D. 23. Hunter L.
Substitutes
8. Aiken M. 19. Drysdale E. 14. Lawless S. 20. Ndlovu G. 23. Waugh K. 33. Whyte B. 17. Wylie A.
6. Docherty S. 7. Dolan J. 3. Ecrepont F. 13. Henderson E. (G) 15. Hughes R. 18. Lynch E. 10. McKnight K. 2. Stuart J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Turay S. ⚽,
11', Sonkur A. 🟨,
35', Gillies M. 🟨,
39', Dunne E. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Stowe M. ⚽, Russell C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tapping J. ↓, Whyte B. ↑,
46', Nair K. ↓, Waugh K. ↑,
62', Hunter L. ↓, Stuart J. ↑,
69', Coll B. 🟨,
69', Booth C. ↓, Drysdale E. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Quigg A. ⚽, Gillies M. (A),
75', Coll B. ↓, Dolan J. ↑,
75', Turay S. ↓, Hughes R. ↑,
75', McManus D. ↓, Ecrepont F. ↑,
79', Craigen J. ↓, Lawless S. ↑,
90+1', Tas L. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartans won 2.
Spartans is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Stranraer has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Spartans is the team to beat.
We predict that Spartans will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Spartans won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:29. (average 1.4:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Spartans won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
United-kingdom
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Carswell B. (G) 
Craigen J. (C) 
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