Match Info

Copa Rio - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday


	Bonsucesso		Cabofriense

	1	X	2
	1.78	2.87	4.60
	1.85	2.92	4.45
	1.69	3.00	5.27
	2.96	3.34	2.22	Watch
	1.80	2.88	4.80
	1.77	3.34	4.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.26)	3.06 ↑ (2.91)	4.37 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bonsucesso
47.7%

Draw
30.8%

Cabofriense
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

31.1%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

31.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bonsucesso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bonsucesso's performance.

Cabofriense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cabofriense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bonsucesso than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bonsucesso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cabofriense than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cabofriense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bonsucesso - Cabofriense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Joao Wesley ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, Marcos Vinicius ⚽,
58', 2 - 1, Eriky ⚽,
59', 3 - 1, Reina ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bonsucesso won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Bonsucesso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bonsucesso could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bonsucesso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Bonsucesso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bonsucesso FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
13.06.26	Bonsucesso - Resende	0:1 ✺
10.06.26	Maricá - Bonsucesso	0:0 ✺
30.05.26	Bonsucesso - Pérolas Negras	4:1 ✺
16.05.26	Bonsucesso - Audax Rio	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Serrano FC - Bonsucesso	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTWLT
- AD Cabofriense
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
14.06.26	Cabofriense - Americano Rio de Janeiro	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	America RJ - Cabofriense	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Cabofriense - Audax Rio	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	São Gonçalo - Cabofriense	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	Cabofriense - Serrano FC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
29.04.26	Cabofriense - Bonsucesso	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
10.01.18	Bonsucesso - Cabofriense	0:2
22.02.17	Bonsucesso - Cabofriense	0:1
05.02.17	Cabofriense - Bonsucesso	2:1
18.01.17	Cabofriense - Bonsucesso	1:1
09.04.16	Cabofriense - Bonsucesso	2:0
11.02.16	Cabofriense - Bonsucesso	3:1

Bonsucesso - Cabofriense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide