Match Info

Carioca 2 - Round 6

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Alair Correa (Correao RJ) (Cabo Frio)


	Cabofriense		Audax Rio

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	4.25
	1.26	4.94	11.24	Watch
	1.91	2.8	3.9
	1.87	2.99	4.3
	1.95	2.96	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.95)	3.34 ↑ (2.96)	5.54 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cabofriense
53.8%

Draw
28.8%

Audax Rio
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

30.7%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

29.3%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cabofriense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cabofriense's performance.

Audax Rio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Audax Rio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cabofriense than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Rio than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Cabofriense - Audax Rio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
86', 🟥,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 and 9).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Cabofriense is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cabofriense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Cabofriense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Cabofriense
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
23.05.26	São Gonçalo - Cabofriense	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	Cabofriense - Serrano FC	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	Resende - Cabofriense	2:2 ✺
06.05.26	Maricá - Cabofriense	1:0 ✺
29.04.26	Cabofriense - Bonsucesso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTTLW
- Audax Rio
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
23.05.26	Audax Rio - Serrano FC	1:2 ✺
16.05.26	Bonsucesso - Audax Rio	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Audax Rio - Araruama	3:2 ✺
06.05.26	Audax Rio - America RJ	0:3 ✺
29.04.26	Olaria - Audax Rio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
21.05.25	Cabofriense - Audax Rio	1:0
19.06.24	Audax Rio - Cabofriense	2:1
28.07.21	Audax Rio - Cabofriense	3:0
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
16.03.14	Audax Rio - Cabofriense	2:0

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