Match Info

National 2 - Group A - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Atlantique (Bordeaux)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	TV7


	Bordeaux		La Roche VF

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.2	3.15
	2.12	3.15	2.92
	2.17	3.2	3.08
	2.54	2.9	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.5)	3.11 ↑ (2.88)	3 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bordeaux
40.7%

Draw
29.1%

La Roche VF
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

31.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

32.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bordeaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

La Roche VF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Roche VF than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Bordeaux - La Roche VF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Etonde L. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Villette M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 3 - 0, Villette M. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National).

Now, both teams are in good form.

La Roche VF may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bordeaux won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Including home match between the teams, Bordeaux won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girondins de Bordeaux
French National 1 - Group A
04.10.25	Stade Poitevin - Bordeaux	0:3 ✺
20.09.25	Bordeaux - Angoulême	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Saint-Malo - Bordeaux	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Bordeaux - Olympique de Saumur	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Voltigeurs de Châteaubriant - Bordeaux	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTLWW
- La Roche Vendée Football
French National 1 - Group A
03.10.25	La Roche VF - Avranches	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Les Herbiers - La Roche VF	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	La Roche VF - Aviron Bayonnais	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Montlouis - La Roche VF	1:4 ✺
30.08.25	La Roche VF - Dinan-Léhon	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

French National 1 - Group B
26.04.25	Bordeaux - La Roche VF	1:0
14.12.24	La Roche VF - Bordeaux	0:1

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