Match Info

Date: 23 July 2021, Friday


	Bordj Bou Arréridj		Tlemcen

	1	X	2
	4.3	3.4	1.7
	4.3	3.25	1.75
	4.69	3.52	1.82
	4.5	3.2	1.78
	4.5	3.5	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↑ (2.3)	3.37 ↑ (3.18)	1.76 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bordj Bou Arréridj
20.6%

Draw
27.2%

Tlemcen
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

29.5%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

20%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bordj Bou Arréridj has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bordj Bou Arréridj's form might have worsened.

Tlemcen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tlemcen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bordj Bou Arréridj than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bordj Bou Arréridj, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tlemcen than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tlemcen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	8.3%	85%

Bordj Bou Arréridj - Tlemcen Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Bordj Bou Arréridj will win (votes: 4 - 6.7%). Tlemcen will win (votes: 51 - 85%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tlemcen: 76% – 94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Bordj Bou Arréridj has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tlemcen is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Tlemcen is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bordj Bou Arréridj won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Bordj Bou Arréridj won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bordj Bou Arréridj
Algerian Ligue 1
17.07.21	Magra - Bordj Bou Arréridj	3:0 ✺
13.07.21	Bordj Bou Arréridj - Saoura	0:1 ✺
08.07.21	Hussein Dey - Bordj Bou Arréridj	3:0 ✺
04.07.21	Bordj Bou Arréridj - Biskra	0:0 ✺
01.07.21	USM Alger - Bordj Bou Arréridj	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- WA Tlemcen
Algerian Ligue 1
17.07.21	Tlemcen - Belouizdad	2:1 ✺
13.07.21	Paradou - Tlemcen	1:0 ✺
08.07.21	Tlemcen - Rélizane	0:1 ✺
04.07.21	MC Alger - Tlemcen	2:1 ✺
01.07.21	Tlemcen - Bel-Abbès	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
20.02.21	Tlemcen - Bordj Bou Arréridj	3:1
Algerian Cup
28.12.18	Bordj Bou Arréridj - Tlemcen	1:0 penalties

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