Match Info

Date: 22 January 2021, Friday


	Bordj Bou Arréridj		USM Alger

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.9	2
	3.5	2.8	2.2
	3.6	2.9	2.05
	3.65	2.9	2.05
	4.05	3.02	2.14
	3.7	2.9	2.1
	3.38	3.08	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (2.9)	2.93 ↑ (2.92)	2.1 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bordj Bou Arréridj
25.1%

Draw
31.2%

USM Alger
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

31.5%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

22.5%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bordj Bou Arréridj has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bordj Bou Arréridj's form might have worsened.

USM Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting USM Alger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordj Bou Arréridj than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that USM Alger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	33.3%	57.6%

Bordj Bou Arréridj - USM Alger Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Bordj Bou Arréridj will win (votes: 3 - 9.1%). USM Alger will win (votes: 19 - 57.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for USM Alger: 40.7% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation to Ligue 2 and 10).

Bordj Bou Arréridj has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches USM Alger is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

USM Alger will have a small advantage in this match.

USM Alger will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bordj Bou Arréridj won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Bordj Bou Arréridj won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bordj Bou Arréridj
Algerian Ligue 1
15.01.21	ASO Chlef - Bordj Bou Arréridj	2:0 ✺
09.01.21	Bordj Bou Arréridj - ES Sétif	1:5 ✺
27.12.20	Aïn Mlila - Bordj Bou Arréridj	1:0 ✺
23.12.20	Paradou - Bordj Bou Arréridj	3:2 ✺
18.12.20	Bordj Bou Arréridj - Rélizane	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- USM Alger
Algerian Ligue 1
16.01.21	USM Alger - Rélizane	3:1 ✺
11.01.21	Kabylie - USM Alger	1:2 ✺
27.12.20	USM Alger - Hussein Dey	3:0 ✺
23.12.20	Constantine - USM Alger	2:1 ✺
19.12.20	USM Alger - Olympique de Médéa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
23.10.19	USM Alger - Bordj Bou Arréridj	3:0
18.01.19	Bordj Bou Arréridj - USM Alger	1:1
04.09.18	USM Alger - Bordj Bou Arréridj	3:1
08.02.14	Bordj Bou Arréridj - USM Alger	0:0
03.09.13	USM Alger - Bordj Bou Arréridj	1:3

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