Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group G - Round 31

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday


	Boreale		Cavese

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.9	2.3
	3	2.96	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (5.11)	2.93 ↓ (3.25)	2.33 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boreale
30.6%

Draw
30.7%

Cavese
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

27.9%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

27.6%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boreale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boreale's performance.

Cavese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cavese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boreale than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boreale that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cavese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Di Piazza M. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 2, Foggia C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', 0 - 3, Foggia C. ⚽,
79', 0 - 4, ⚽,
86', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Boreale
Italian Serie D - Group G
28.03.24	Boreale - Sarrabus Ogliastra	0:0 ✺
24.03.24	Ostia Mare - Boreale	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	Boreale - Flaminia Civita Castellana	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Gladiator - Boreale	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Boreale - Nocerina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 TTTLT
- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group G
07.04.24	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Cavese	0:1 ✺
28.03.24	Cavese - Budoni	3:0 ✺
24.03.24	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Cavese	0:2 ✺
17.03.24	Cavese - Nuova Florida	2:3 ✺
10.03.24	Nocerina - Cavese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
03.12.23	Cavese - Boreale	4:1

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