Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 13

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Borgo San Donnino		Lentigione

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	1.82
	3.75	3.22	1.84
	3.75	3.22	1.85
	4.5	3.6	1.6
	3.78	3.4	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↓ (4.7)	3.39 ↓ (3.74)	1.79 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borgo San Donnino
23.3%

Draw
26.5%

Lentigione
50.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.3%

24.3%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

23.9%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borgo San Donnino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Lentigione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lentigione might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borgo San Donnino than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lentigione than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lentigione could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Borgo San Donnino is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lentigione is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Lentigione is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Borgo San Donnino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Borgo San Donnino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borgo San Donnino
Italian Serie D - Group D
19.11.23	Pistoiese - Borgo San Donnino	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Borgo San Donnino - Cavenago Fanfulla	3:3 ✺
05.11.23	Sangiuliano City Nova - Borgo San Donnino	2:0 ✺
01.11.23	Borgo San Donnino - Prato	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Borgo San Donnino - Certaldo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTLTW
- Lentigione Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
19.11.23	Lentigione - Forlì	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Certaldo - Lentigione	1:2 ✺
05.11.23	Lentigione - Sammaurese	3:2 ✺
01.11.23	Progresso - Lentigione	0:2 ✺
28.10.23	Lentigione - Aglianese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
03.04.22	Lentigione - Borgo San Donnino	3:1
21.11.21	Borgo San Donnino - Lentigione	0:3

Borgo San Donnino - Lentigione

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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