The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Borgo San Donnino 23.3%
Draw 26.5%
Lentigione 50.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.3%
24.3%
56.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19%
23.9%
57.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Borgo San Donnino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
Lentigione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lentigione might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borgo San Donnino than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lentigione than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lentigione could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).
Recent matches Borgo San Donnino is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Lentigione is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Lentigione is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Borgo San Donnino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Borgo San Donnino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.
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