The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Borgo San Donnino 21.2%
Draw 27.4%
Sangiuliano City Nova 51.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.1%
30.2%
42.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.8%
29.9%
43.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Borgo San Donnino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Borgo San Donnino's form might have worsened.
Sangiuliano City Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sangiuliano City Nova's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borgo San Donnino than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borgo San Donnino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sangiuliano City Nova than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sangiuliano City Nova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Salzano A. ⚽,
9', Ferretti A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
66', Ferretti A. ⚽,
73', ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 11).
Borgo San Donnino is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Sangiuliano City Nova is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Sangiuliano City Nova will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Borgo San Donnino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
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