Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 23

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Certaldo		Sangiuliano City Nova

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.1	1.87
	3.78	3.18	1.88
	3.94	3.2	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.78)	3.16 ↓ (3.19)	1.89 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Certaldo
23.7%

Draw
28.6%

Sangiuliano City Nova
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

28.2%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

27.6%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Certaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Sangiuliano City Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Certaldo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sangiuliano City Nova than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Certaldo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sangiuliano City Nova is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Sangiuliano City Nova is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Certaldo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Calcio Certaldo
Italian Serie D - Group D
04.02.24	Imolese - Certaldo	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	Progresso - Certaldo	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Mezzolara - Certaldo	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	Certaldo - Sammaurese	0:1 ✺
20.12.23	Certaldo - AC Carpi	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWLL
- Sangiuliano City Nova
Italian Serie D - Group D
04.02.24	Sangiuliano City Nova - Victor San Marino	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	Forlì - Sangiuliano City Nova	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	Sangiuliano City Nova - Corticella	1:1 ✺
14.01.24	Progresso - Sangiuliano City Nova	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Sangiuliano City Nova - Lentigione	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
15.10.23	Sangiuliano City Nova - Certaldo	0:0

Certaldo - Sangiuliano City Nova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide