Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 17 - ROUND 17

Date: 21 February 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Borja		Almudévar

	1	X	2
	4	2.95	1.87
	4.33	3	1.87
	3.98	2.9	1.87
	4.48	2.77	1.92
	4.49	2.98	1.86
	4.33	3	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↓ (5.86)	2.93 ↓ (3.54)	1.88 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borja
21.1%

Draw
30.8%

Almudévar
48.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.5%

25.7%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15%

24.9%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Borja's performance.

Almudévar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Almudévar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borja than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Borja that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almudévar than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almudévar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Borja - Almudévar Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Almudévar will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Borja is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Almudévar is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Almudévar is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Borja won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Borja won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Borja
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
18.02.24	Belchite - Borja	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Borja - Fraga	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Ebro - Borja	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Borja - Tamarite	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Atlético Monzón - Borja	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTLTL
- AD Almudévar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
18.02.24	Almudévar - Ejea	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Cariñena - Almudévar	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Almudévar - Cuarte	1:2 ✺
28.01.24	Binéfar - Almudévar	0:2 ✺
14.01.24	Almudévar - Calamocha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
30.01.21	Almudévar - Borja	1:1
22.09.19	Borja - Almudévar	1:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
28.04.18	Borja - Almudévar	3:2
26.11.17	Almudévar - Borja	1:0

Borja - Almudévar