Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 17 - ROUND 13

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Borja		Illueca

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.95	2.25
	4.08	3.1	1.85
	4.08	3.1	1.85
	4.05	3.32	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (2.8)	3.12 ↑ (2.94)	1.94 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borja
24%

Draw
29.2%

Illueca
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

30.6%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

29.8%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Borja's form might have worsened.

Illueca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Illueca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borja than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illueca than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Illueca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Borja - Illueca Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Illueca will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Borja is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Illueca is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Borja won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Borja won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Borja
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
26.11.23	Ejea - Borja	0:1 ✺
19.11.23	Borja - Cariñena	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Cuarte - Borja	3:0 ✺
05.11.23	Borja - Binéfar	0:1 ✺
29.10.23	Borja - Huesca B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WWLLL
- CF Illueca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
26.11.23	Illueca - Calamocha	1:1 ✺
19.11.23	Épila - Illueca	3:0 ✺
11.11.23	Illueca - Caspe	0:2 ✺
04.11.23	Belchite - Illueca	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Illueca - Fraga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
05.03.22	Illueca - Borja	2:0
23.04.21	Borja - Illueca	3:1

Borja - Illueca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide