Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 28

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Rote Erde (Dortmund)


	Borussia Dortmund II		Fortuna Köln

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	1.98
	3.07	3.71	2.07
	3.07	3.74	2.03
	3.08	3.55	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.88)	3.65 ↓ (3.7)	2.03 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund II
29.6%

Draw
25.1%

Fortuna Köln
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

24.7%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

24.4%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Fortuna Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Köln than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Borussia Dortmund II - Fortuna Köln Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Benkara E. 🟥,
44', 1 - 0, Albert M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia Dortmund II won 3.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Borussia Dortmund II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fortuna Köln is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Borussia Dortmund II won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia Dortmund II won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Dortmund II	11	7	4	0	23:11	12	25

Last Results with these Odds

Fortuna Köln - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 43.57%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund II
German Regionalliga West
21.03.26	Bonner - Borussia Dortmund II	0:1 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
18.03.26	Everton U21 - Borussia Dortmund II	0:2 ✺
German Regionalliga West
13.03.26	Borussia Dortmund II - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	4:1 ✺
06.03.26	Gütersloh - Borussia Dortmund II	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Borussia Dortmund II - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWTL
- Fortuna Köln
German Regionalliga West
28.03.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Fortuna Köln	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Fortuna Köln - Rödinghausen	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Velbert - Fortuna Köln	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Bocholt - Fortuna Köln	2:3 ✺
01.03.26	Fortuna Köln - Bonner	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
04.10.25	Fortuna Köln - Borussia Dortmund II	2:2
Club Friendly
14.01.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Fortuna Köln	0:0
German Regionalliga West
04.04.21	Borussia Dortmund II - Fortuna Köln	1:0
31.10.20	Fortuna Köln - Borussia Dortmund II	1:2
17.11.19	Fortuna Köln - Borussia Dortmund II	0:2
Club Friendly
13.01.18	Borussia Dortmund II - Fortuna Köln	1:2
16.01.17	Borussia Dortmund II - Fortuna Köln	1:0

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