Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 12

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Rote Erde (Dortmund)


	Borussia Dortmund II		Velbert

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.95	6.3
	1.34	5.32	7.28
	1.34	4.85	6.77
	1.34	4.85	6.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.37)	4.99 ↑ (4.75)	6.78 ↑ (6.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund II
68.1%

Draw
18.4%

Velbert
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

19.1%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

18.3%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Velbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velbert than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Borussia Dortmund II - Velbert Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Kabar A. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Wessels A. ⚽,
35', 3 - 0, Paulina J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 4 - 0, Cherny N. ⚽,
65', 5 - 0, Huning B. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Borussia Dortmund II has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Velbert is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Borussia Dortmund II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Borussia Dortmund II is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Borussia Dortmund II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Borussia Dortmund II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund II
German Regionalliga West
04.10.25	Fortuna Köln - Borussia Dortmund II	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Bonner	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Borussia Dortmund II	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Gütersloh	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Borussia Dortmund II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TTWWL
- SSVg Velbert
German Regionalliga West
03.10.25	Velbert - Rödinghausen	2:3 ✺
25.09.25	Velbert - Bocholt	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Fortuna Köln - Velbert	5:0 ✺
17.09.25	Velbert - Bonner	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Velbert	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
14.05.16	Borussia Dortmund II - Velbert	3:0
13.04.16	Velbert - Borussia Dortmund II	1:2

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