Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 8

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday


	Velbert		Bonner

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.7	2.22
	2.73	3.6	2.2
	2.7	3.74	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (1.93)	3.68 ↓ (3.74)	2.2 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Velbert
33.7%

Draw
24.8%

Bonner
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

24.3%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

21.2%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Velbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Velbert's form might have worsened.

Bonner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bonner's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velbert than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Velbert, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bonner than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bonner, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Velbert - Bonner Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bonner (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Velbert is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bonner is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Velbert may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Velbert will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Velbert won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2.

Including home match between the teams, Velbert won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSVg Velbert
German Regionalliga West
13.09.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Velbert	2:1 ✺
29.08.25	Velbert - Gütersloh	0:3 ✺
24.08.25	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Velbert	0:0 ✺
17.08.25	Velbert - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	1:2 ✺
11.08.25	Bochum II - Velbert	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTLT
- Bonner SC
German Regionalliga West
05.09.25	Bonner - Fortuna Köln	0:3 ✺
30.08.25	Bonner - Bocholt	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Bonner	2:0 ✺
10.08.25	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Bonner	3:1 ✺
02.08.25	Bonner - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
02.08.24	Velbert - Bonner	5:2

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