Match Info

GERMANY: Junioren Bundesliga Play Offs - Final

Date: 30 May 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event


	Borussia Dortmund U19		Hoffenheim U19

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.4	2.2
	3.02	4.01	2
	3.02	4.02	2.01
	2.77	3.95	2.07
	2.85	3.5	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.12)	3.78 ↑ (3.75)	2.09 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund U19
31.9%

Draw
24.2%

Hoffenheim U19
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

24.2%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

25.3%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Borussia Dortmund U19's form might have worsened.

Hoffenheim U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hoffenheim U19's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund U19 than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borussia Dortmund U19, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim U19 than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hoffenheim U19, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Borussia Dortmund U19 - Hoffenheim U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Moerstedt M. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Brunner P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
67', 1 - 2, Hennrich P. ⚽,
87', 1 - 3, Makanda B. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund U19
German Junioren Bundesliga North
20.05.24	Hertha U19 - Borussia Dortmund U19	3:4 penalties ✺
16.05.24	Borussia Dortmund U19 - Hertha U19	2:2 ✺
German Junioren Bundesliga West
05.05.24	Borussia Dortmund U19 - Schalke U19	3:0 ✺
28.04.24	Verl U19 - Borussia Dortmund U19	2:5 ✺
20.04.24	Borussia Dortmund U19 - Duisburg U19	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWWW
- TSG Hoffenheim U19
German DFB Junioren Pokal
24.05.24	Freiburg U19 - Hoffenheim U19	2:3 ET ✺
German Junioren Bundesliga North
19.05.24	Hoffenheim U19 - Borussia U19 Mönchengladbach	4:0 ✺
15.05.24	Borussia U19 Mönchengladbach - Hoffenheim U19	2:6 ✺
German Junioren Bundesliga South
10.05.24	Mainz U19 - Hoffenheim U19	2:3 ✺
05.05.24	Hoffenheim U19 - Stuttgart U19	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Junioren Pokal
02.09.23	Hoffenheim U19 - Borussia Dortmund U19	6:0
German Junioren Bundesliga Play Offs
29.05.16	Hoffenheim U19 - Borussia Dortmund U19	3:5

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