Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA MITTELRHEIN - ROUND 22

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday


	Borussia Freialdenhoven		Pesch

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.57	2.8
	2.26	3.58	2.74
	2.1	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.95)	3.55 ↑ (3.5)	2.85 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Freialdenhoven
41.6%

Draw
26%

Pesch
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

25.8%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

26.4%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Freialdenhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Pesch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Freialdenhoven than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borussia Freialdenhoven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pesch than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pesch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Freialdenhoven is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pesch is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Freialdenhoven could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Freialdenhoven will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Freialdenhoven won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Freialdenhoven won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Borussia Freialdenhoven 1912
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
15.04.23	Borussia Freialdenhoven - Siegburger	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	Blau-Weiß Friesdorf - Borussia Freialdenhoven	2:1 ✺
26.03.23	Borussia Freialdenhoven - Glesch-Paffendorf	1:5 ✺
19.03.23	Fortuna Köln II - Borussia Freialdenhoven	2:2 ✺
12.03.23	Borussia Freialdenhoven - Bergisch Gladbach	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLTL
- FC Pesch
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
16.04.23	Pesch - Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	Siegburger - Pesch	1:1 ✺
26.03.23	Pesch - Hennef 05	3:1 ✺
19.03.23	Blau-Weiß Friesdorf - Pesch	2:3 ✺
12.03.23	Pesch - Bonner	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.3 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
12.10.22	Pesch - Borussia Freialdenhoven	0:2
01.05.22	Pesch - Borussia Freialdenhoven	3:3
17.10.21	Borussia Freialdenhoven - Pesch	0:1
27.09.20	Borussia Freialdenhoven - Pesch	3:2
22.09.19	Borussia Freialdenhoven - Pesch	3:2

Borussia Freialdenhoven - Pesch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide