Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA MITTELRHEIN - ROUND 21

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday


	Pesch		Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.75	3.75
	1.65	4.18	4.26
	1.64	4.15	4.25
	1.66	4.2	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.95)	4.07 ↑ (3.86)	4 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pesch
55%

Draw
22.3%

Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

23.8%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

23.1%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pesch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pesch's performance.

Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pesch than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pesch that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pesch - Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Pesch is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Viktoria Arnoldsweiler has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pesch will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pesch won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Pesch won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Pesch
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
02.04.23	Siegburger - Pesch	1:1 ✺
26.03.23	Pesch - Hennef 05	3:1 ✺
19.03.23	Blau-Weiß Friesdorf - Pesch	2:3 ✺
12.03.23	Pesch - Bonner	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Glesch-Paffendorf - Pesch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.4 TWWTL
- Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
02.04.23	Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler - Hennef 05	1:2 ✺
24.03.23	Bonner - Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler	4:2 ✺
15.03.23	Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler - Hürth	2:2 ✺
12.03.23	Eintracht Hohkeppel - Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler	3:0 ✺
05.03.23	Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler - Wegberg-Beeck	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
25.09.22	Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler - Pesch	1:2
29.05.22	Pesch - Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler	5:3
14.11.21	Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler - Pesch	1:0
04.10.20	Pesch - Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler	4:5
15.09.19	Pesch - Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler	3:2

Pesch - Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide