Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 22 February 2023, Wednesday

Location: Parque Artigas (Las Piedras)

Referee: Roldan W. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN


	Boston River		Huracán Buenos Aires

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.3	1.73	Watch
	5	3.25	1.77
	4.9	3.35	1.83
	5.14	3.38	1.79
	5	3.1	1.73
	5.65	3.24	1.75	Watch
	4.5	3.3	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.99 ↑ (2.63)	3.27 ↑ (3.07)	1.77 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston River
18.7%

Draw
28.5%

Huracán Buenos Aires
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

30%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

29.3%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boston River's form might have worsened.

Huracán Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Huracán Buenos Aires's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boston River, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Huracán Buenos Aires, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	5.3%	73.7%

Boston River - Huracán Buenos Aires Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Boston River will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Huracán will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Huracán: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Boston River is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Huracán is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Huracán could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Huracán is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston River
Uruguayan Primera Division
19.02.23	Peñarol de Montevideo - Boston River	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.02.23	Zamora - Boston River	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
12.02.23	Boston River - Cerro	0:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.02.23	Boston River - Zamora	3:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
04.02.23	Racing Montevideo - Boston River	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWLWW
- Huracán Buenos Aires
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.02.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Barracas Central	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Instituto Córdoba - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
06.02.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Banfield	3:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
01.02.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Deportivo Yupanqui	4:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.01.23	Defensa y Justicia - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTWWW

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