Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Parque Artigas (Las Piedras)

Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Boston River		Cerro

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	3.9	Watch
	1.93	3.10	3.80
	1.95	3	3.9
	2.1	3.16	4.07
	1.97	3.26	4.04	Watch
	2.07	3.05	3.95
	2.02	3.09	3.99	Watch
	2	3.1	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.92)	3.1 ↓ (3.24)	3.95 ↓ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston River
46.6%

Draw
30%

Cerro
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

28.8%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

29.9%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Cerro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Boston River - Cerro Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Boston River will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cerro will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Antunez B. (G) 31. Acosta J. 30. Gonzalez M. (C) 23. Rivero M. 24. O'Neill Lopez J. S. 5. Saravia Salvia R. A. 15. Vazquez L. 16. Suhr L. 26. Munoa F. 13. Aristegui F. 27. Siri N.	12. Irrazabal Y. (G) 22. Suarez D. 16. Guasone J. 21. Arena N. 6. Bregante F. 31. Amaro J. 5. Macelli A. (C) 10. Aleman B. 27. Barros C. 28. Cambon A. 77. Leonardo Pais
Substitutes
25. Aguirre A. 10. Amado A. 28. Fernandez A. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 32. Gonzalez Y. 19. Hornos M. 3. Mancebo M. 22. Martinez F. 17. Orona M. 6. Saravia F.	25. Denis D. (G) 11. Forclaz E. 3. Lima A. 32. Mederos R. 8. Miranda A. 35. Nongoy P. 14. Rodriguez E. 17. Rodriguez G. 7. Severo A. 19. Sosa E.
Coaches
Ithurralde I.	Cappuccio A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Cambon A. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Siri N. ⚽,
36', Saravia Salvia R. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bregante F. ↓, Nongoy P. ↑,
54', Aristegui F. ↓, Gonzalez Y. ↑,
64', Leonardo Pais ↓, Mederos R. ↑,
65', Cambon A. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
69', Siri N. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
69', Munoa F. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
71', Arena N. 🟨,
77', Vazquez L. ↓, Amado A. ↑,
81', Nongoy P. 🟨,
87', Fernandez A. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston River won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cerro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Boston River has had a series of away games.

In this match, Boston River is considered a favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Boston River won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Boston River won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	CA Cerro	9	4	2	3	9:11	-2	14
11	Boston River	9	2	3	4	10:12	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Cerro - the odds 4.16 are the expected chance of winning is 22.47%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston River
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.08.26	Albion Montevideo - Boston River	2:3 ✺
14.08.26	Boston River - Danubio	0:0 ✺
09.08.26	Nacional Montevideo - Boston River	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	Racing Montevideo - Boston River	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Boston River	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WTWLL
- CA Cerro
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.08.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro	4:0 ✺
15.08.26	Cerro - Albion Montevideo	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Danubio - Cerro	0:1 ✺
03.08.26	Defensor Sporting - Cerro	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Cerro - Racing Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
16.05.26	Boston River - Cerro	4:1
27.02.26	Cerro - Boston River	1:1
09.11.25	Cerro - Boston River	0:0
19.05.25	Boston River - Cerro	0:0
18.11.24	Cerro - Boston River	0:0
06.07.24	Boston River - Cerro	2:0
19.05.24	Boston River - Cerro	2:0

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