Match Info

ROMANIA: Liga 1 - Round 10

Date: 20 September 2024, Friday

Location: Stadionul Municipal (Botoşani)

Referee: Petrescu R. M. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
World	Prima+ app


	Botoșani		Gloria Buzău

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	4	Watch
	1.82	3.3	4.1
	1.85	3.3	4.2
	1.86	3.37	4.65
	1.91	3.36	4.1	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.2
	1.84	3.42	4.37	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.12)	3.34 ↑ (3.12)	4.23 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botoșani
50.3%

Draw
27.8%

Gloria Buzău
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

29.7%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

23.3%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botoșani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botoșani's performance.

Gloria Buzău has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botoșani than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botoșani that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloria Buzău than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gloria Buzău could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	12.5%	18.7%

Botoșani - Gloria Buzău Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Botoșani will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Gloria Buzău will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botoșani: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Pap E. (G) 2. Diez A. 4. Miron A. 5. Matricardi P. 12. Friday A. 83. Aldair 8. Florescu E. 7. Bodisteanu S. 30. Tiganasu A. 10. Kaprof J. 9. Lopez E.	1. Lazar D. (G) 87. Diego 5. Turda G. 92. Cestor M. 80. Dumitrascu D. 20. Tavares D. 8. Albu D. 66. Akhmatov R. 98. Jipa A. 10. Budescu C. 9. Matos R.
Substitutes
29. Chica-Rosa A. 13. Ciobanu A. (G) 22. Francisco Junior 33. Gabriel D. 11. Mitrov Z. 64. Mouaddib J. 26. Ongenda H. 17. Panoiu S. 3. Pavlovic M. 28. Petro C. 44. Sadiku R. 32. Seroni A.	6. Calin T. 27. Canadjija D. 21. Dobrosavlevici A. 7. Dumitru C. 12. Greab A. (G) 23. Grosu D. 30. Isfan A. 25. Lovric D. 22. Pirvulescu S. 19. Stan A. 11. Tescan D.
Coaches
Ciobotariu L.	Neagoe E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Miron A. 🟨,
34', Albu D. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Budescu C. ⚽, Jipa A. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Diez A. ↓, Ongenda H. ↑,
46', Bodisteanu S. ↓, Panoiu S. ↑,
46', Kaprof J. ↓, Mouaddib J. ↑,
46', Dumitrascu D. ↓, Lovric D. ↑,
59', Lovric D. 🟨,
61', Jipa A. ↓, Stan A. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Mouaddib J. ⚽,
72', Matos R. ↓, Isfan A. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Aldair ⚽, Miron A. (A),
77', Akhmatov R. ↓, Canadjija D. ↑,
78', Ongenda H. 🟨,
79', Lopez E. ↓, Chica-Rosa A. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Matricardi P. (Own goal),
81', Chica-Rosa A. 🟨,
89', 3 - 2, Ongenda H. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 3, Isfan A. ⚽, Tavares D. (A),
90+2', Florescu E. ↓, Seroni A. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Liga 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone Liga 1 (Relegation Group: )).

Recent matches Botoșani is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gloria Buzău has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Botoșani is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Botoşani
Romanian SuperLiga
13.09.24	Sepsi OSK - Botoșani	3:0 ✺
01.09.24	Botoșani - Petrolul Ploieşti	0:2 ✺
Romanian Cup
28.08.24	Alexandria - Botoșani	0:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
25.08.24	CFR Cluj - Botoșani	3:0 ✺
17.08.24	Botoșani - UTA Arad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWLW
- Gloria Buzău
Romanian SuperLiga
14.09.24	Gloria Buzău - Oţelul Galaţi	0:0 ✺
02.09.24	Unirea Slobozia - Gloria Buzău	2:1 ✺
Romanian Cup
29.08.24	Afumaţi - Gloria Buzău	2:1 penalties ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
26.08.24	Gloria Buzău - Universitatea Cluj	0:2 ✺
16.08.24	Universitatea Craiova - Gloria Buzău	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLLL

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