Match Info

ROMANIA: Liga 1 - Round 6

Date: 16 August 2024, Friday

Location: Stadionul Ion Oblemenco (Craiova)

Referee: Catalin G. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, PrimaPlay, Prima Sport 1
World	Prima+ app


	Universitatea Craiova		Gloria Buzău

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.33	5	7.25
	1.33	5	8
	1.35	5.3	8.05
	1.35	5.19	7.53
	1.29	5	8
	1.34	5.2	7.9	Watch
	1.33	5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.5)	5.06 ↑ (3.95)	7.78 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitatea Craiova
69.7%

Draw
18.4%

Gloria Buzău
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

23%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

21.8%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitatea Craiova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universitatea Craiova's performance.

Gloria Buzău has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitatea Craiova than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universitatea Craiova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloria Buzău than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Universitatea Craiova - Gloria Buzău Predictions

Users Predictions: Universitatea Craiova will win (24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.04% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Popescu L. (G) 2. Vladoiu S. 3. Maldonado D. 25. Sierra G. 11. Bancu N. 8. Oshima T. 5. Mekvabishvili A. 31. Bana S. 28. Mitrita A. (C) 7. Paradela L. 19. Koljic E.	39. Railean D. (G) 87. Diego 5. Turda G. 21. Dobrosavlevici A. 18. Salceanu R. 66. Akhmatov R. 27. Canadjija D. 11. Tescan D. 8. Benzar D. 7. Dumitru C. (C) 9. Matos R.
Substitutes
15. Badelj J. 10. Baiaram S. 27. Barbu D. 23. Capatina M. 37. Danciu M. 36. Gaspar F. 14. Houri L. 33. Lung S. Jr. (G) 17. Mora C. 12. Ndong B. 6. Screciu V. 26. Zajkov G.	10. Budescu C. 6. Calin T. 88. Gheorghe I. 99. Gladun C. S. 12. Greab A. (G) 13. Grigore D. 29. Horeboiu D. (G) 98. Mihaiu A. 22. Pirvulescu S. 23. Prejmerean V. 19. Stan A. 20. Tavares D.
Coaches
Galca C.	Prepelita A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', Matos R. 🟨,
32', Paradela L. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Maldonado D. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Bana S. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Salceanu R. ↓, Pirvulescu S. ↑,
46', Canadjija D. ↓, Tavares D. ↑,
46', Benzar D. ↓, Budescu C. ↑,
46', Tescan D. ↓, Gheorghe I. ↑,
49', Maldonado D. 🟨,
52', Diego 🟨,
63', 3 - 0, Mitrita A. ⚽,
67', 3 - 1, Budescu C. ⚽, Pirvulescu S. (A),
69', Paradela L. ↓, Mora C. ↑,
69', Bana S. ↓, Barbu D. ↑,
69', Dumitru C. ↓, Stan A. ↑,
73', 4 - 1, Mekvabishvili A. ⚽, Oshima T. (A),
77', Mitrita A. 🟨,
78', Mitrita A. ↓, Capatina M. ↑,
78', Mekvabishvili A. ↓, Houri L. ↑,
84', 5 - 1, Capatina M. ⚽, Houri L. (A),
88', Dobrosavlevici A. 🟨,
88', Koljic E. ↓, Baiaram S. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Liga 1 (Relegation Group: )).

Universitatea Craiova is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Gloria Buzău is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Universitatea Craiova is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Universitatea Craiova
Romanian SuperLiga
11.08.24	Sepsi OSK - Universitatea Craiova	1:2 ✺
04.08.24	Universitatea Craiova - Petrolul Ploieşti	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.24	Universitatea Craiova - Maribor	3:2 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
28.07.24	CFR Cluj - Universitatea Craiova	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Maribor - Universitatea Craiova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTWWL
- Gloria Buzău
Romanian SuperLiga
10.08.24	Gloria Buzău - Rapid Bucureşti	1:1 ✺
02.08.24	FC Dinamo Bucureşti - Gloria Buzău	4:1 ✺
27.07.24	Politehnica Iași - Gloria Buzău	1:2 ✺
22.07.24	Gloria Buzău - Sepsi OSK	1:2 ✺
15.07.24	Petrolul Ploieşti - Gloria Buzău	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TLWLT

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