Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 6

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Bougouni		Djoliba

	1	X	2
	7.1	3.6	1.45
	7.56	3.87	1.44	Watch
	7	3.5	1.44
	8.1	3.58	1.43	Watch
	7	3.5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.35 ↑ (6.4)	3.61 ↓ (3.92)	1.45 (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bougouni
12.3%

Draw
25.1%

Djoliba
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.2%

23.2%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14%

22.9%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bougouni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

The chances for Djoliba have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bougouni than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Djoliba than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Bougouni - Djoliba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 8).

Bougouni is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Djoliba has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bougouni may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Djoliba is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bougouni won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bougouni won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Bougouni
Malian Première Division
19.12.25	Afrique Football Elite - Bougouni	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Bougouni - Korofina	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Real Bamako - Bougouni	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Bougouni - Diarra	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Bougouni - Binga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLLL
- Djoliba AC
Malian Première Division
21.12.25	Djoliba - Onze Créateurs	1:0 ✺
17.12.25	Djoliba - Derby Académie	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Stade Malien - Djoliba	1:0 ✺
10.12.25	Afrique Football Elite - Djoliba	0:3 ✺
07.12.25	Djoliba - Bougouba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
30.01.25	Djoliba - Bougouni	2:0
04.02.24	Bougouni - Djoliba	2:2
27.05.23	Bougouni - Djoliba	0:2
05.12.22	Djoliba - Bougouni	2:0

Bougouni - Djoliba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide