Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 4

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Stade Malien		Djoliba

	1	X	2
	2.68	2.68	2.78
	2.73	2.5	2.96
	2.73	2.6	2.98	Watch
	2.63	2.63	2.8
	2.65	2.64	2.81	Watch
	2.66	2.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.14)	2.59 ↓ (2.94)	2.89 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Malien
33.8%

Draw
34.9%

Djoliba
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

31%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

30.1%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Malien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stade Malien's form might have worsened.

Djoliba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Malien than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stade Malien, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Djoliba than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Djoliba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Stade Malien - Djoliba Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Djoliba (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Djoliba (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Malien won 2.

Stade Malien is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Djoliba has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Stade Malien might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Stade Malien won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Stade Malien won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Malien
Malian Première Division
10.12.25	Real Bamako - Stade Malien	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Afrique Football Elite - Stade Malien	0:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
30.11.25	Stade Malien - Simba	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Espérance ST - Stade Malien	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Stade Malien - Nouadhibou	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TTWTW
- Djoliba AC
Malian Première Division
10.12.25	Afrique Football Elite - Djoliba	0:3 ✺
07.12.25	Djoliba - Bougouba	0:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
30.11.25	San-Pédro - Djoliba	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Djoliba - Olympic Safi	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Djoliba - USFA	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
27.04.25	Djoliba - Stade Malien	1:3
16.02.25	Stade Malien - Djoliba	0:1
17.03.24	Djoliba - Stade Malien	2:1
30.12.23	Stade Malien - Djoliba	1:0
27.11.22	Djoliba - Stade Malien	1:0
29.05.22	Stade Malien - Djoliba	0:2
02.01.22	Djoliba - Stade Malien	1:1

Stade Malien - Djoliba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide