Match Info

Botola 2 - Round 22

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Boujaad		Chabab Mohammedia

	1	X	2
	1.9	2.82	4.45
	1.86	2.89	4.4
	1.87	2.96	4.55
	1.91	2.63	4.4
	1.82	2.88	4.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 (1.87)	2.84 ↑ (2.8)	4.54 ↑ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boujaad
48.3%

Draw
31.9%

Chabab Mohammedia
19.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48%

32.1%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

28.6%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boujaad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

The chances for Chabab Mohammedia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boujaad than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boujaad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chabab Mohammedia than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Boujaad - Chabab Mohammedia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 9).

Boujaad has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chabab Mohammedia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Boujaad is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	US Boujaad	5	0	3	2	3:7	-4	3
15	Chabab Mohammedia	5	0	2	3	2:7	-5	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Boujaad
Moroccan Botola 2
04.04.26	Chabab Atlas Khénifra - Boujaad	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Boujaad - Widad Témara	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Jeunesse Sportive Soualem - Boujaad	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Boujaad - Chabab Massira	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Mouloudia Club dOujda - Boujaad	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTLTW
- Chabab Mohammedia
Moroccan Botola 2
04.04.26	Chabab Mohammedia - Moghreb Tétouan	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Racing de Casablanca - Chabab Mohammedia	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Chabab Mohammedia - Widad Fez	0:3 ✺
07.03.26	Chabab Benguérir - Chabab Mohammedia	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Chabab Mohammedia - USM Oujda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLTW

Boujaad - Chabab Mohammedia