Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Bourj		Al-Abbassieh

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.05	2.92	Watch
	2.54	3.43	2.37
	2.56	3.44	2.46	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.5
	2.36	3.22	2.65
	2.62	3.25	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.32)	3.25 (3.25)	2.55 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bourj
36.6%

Draw
27.8%

Al-Abbassieh
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

26.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bourj has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Al-Abbassieh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bourj than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Abbassieh than the current prediction. (-1%)

Bourj - Al Abbassieh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+10', Amelinsa E. 🟨,
90+12', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 in the zone Premier League (Losers stage: ) and 11 in the zone Premier League (Losers stage: )).

Bourj is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Abbassieh is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Bourj has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bourj won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, Bourj won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bourj FC
Lebanese Premier League
12.12.25	Bourj - Racing Beirut	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Bourj	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Al-Safa Beyrut - Bourj	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Hekmeh - Bourj	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Nejmeh - Bourj	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL
- Al-Abbassieh FC
Lebanese Premier League
13.12.25	Al-Abbassieh - Shabab Al Sahel	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Al-Safa Beyrut - Al-Abbassieh	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Al-Abbassieh - Al-Ansar Beirut	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Hekmeh - Al-Abbassieh	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Al-Abbassieh - Nejmeh	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
19.06.25	Al-Abbassieh - Bourj	0:0
20.05.25	Al-Abbassieh - Bourj	0:1
19.04.25	Bourj - Al-Abbassieh	2:1
03.03.25	Al-Abbassieh - Bourj	2:0

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