Match Info

Professional Development League

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Bournemouth U21		Swansea City U21

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.45	3.75
	1.49	5.08	4.68
	1.90	4.91	2.90	Watch
	1.61	4.3	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.59)	4.69 ↑ (4.25)	3.86 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bournemouth U21
56.1%

Draw
19.8%

Swansea City U21
24.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.2%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

21.9%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Swansea City U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bournemouth U21 than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City U21 than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Bournemouth U21 - Swansea City U21 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bournemouth U21 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Bates M. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, ⚽,
18', 2 - 1, ⚽,
45', 3 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Professional Development League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Swansea U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bournemouth U21 is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth U21 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bournemouth U21 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 4:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Bournemouth U21
English Professional Development League
15.09.25	Coventry City U21 - Bournemouth U21	3:2 ✺
English Premier League Cup
12.09.25	Reading U21 - Bournemouth U21	2:1 ✺
English Professional Development League
05.09.25	Bournemouth U21 - Sheffield Wednesday U21	3:0 ✺
25.08.25	Bournemouth U21 - Peterborough United U21	0:1 ✺
19.08.25	Wigan Athletic U21 - Bournemouth U21	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLW
- Swansea City U21
English Professional Development League
20.09.25	Swansea City U21 - Bristol City U21	4:1 ✺
16.09.25	Wigan Athletic U21 - Swansea City U21	5:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
10.09.25	Haverfordwest County - Swansea City U21	4:1 ✺
English Professional Development League
29.08.25	Coventry City U21 - Swansea City U21	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Swansea City U21 - Huddersfield Town U21	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Professional Development League
28.03.25	Bournemouth U21 - Swansea City U21	4:0
24.10.24	Swansea City U21 - Bournemouth U21	2:2
12.02.24	Swansea City U21 - Bournemouth U21	3:2
07.11.23	Bournemouth U21 - Swansea City U21	4:3

Bournemouth U21 - Swansea City U21